美国农业部最近报道，预计2017年美国红肉和家禽的消耗是887.51亿磅，比2015年增加了40亿磅，比去年增加了20亿磅。牛肉、猪肉和禽肉行业的盈利能力和乐观形势，推动了美国人均消耗潜力，从2015年人均211磅增至2017年人均217.8磅。人均大约7磅的提升。应该敲醒那些给活在幻想世界里的素食主义者的脑袋，肉食爱好者正在不断增加消费。

　　2017年美国牛肉产量预测能够达到265.64亿磅，比2015年增加28亿磅。2017年人均消耗57.1磅牛肉，而2015年是54磅。

　　2017年猪肉产量261.11亿磅，相对2015年的猪肉产量是245.17亿磅。2017年人均消耗50.8磅猪肉，而2015年是49.8磅。

　　The USDA’s latest report of projected U.S. Red Meat and Poultry disappearance for 2017 is 88.751 billion pounds, up 4 billion pounds from 2015 and 2 billion from last year. Profitability and optimism in the Beef, Pork and Poultry Industries have pushed potential U.S. per capita disappearance from 211 lbs per person in 2015 to 217.8 potentially in 2017. A jump of almost 7 lbs per person. Anyone who lives in the fantasy world that vegetarianism is taking over needs to give their head a shake, meat lovers are ever increasing their consumption.

　　U.S. Beef Production is projected to be 26.564 billion pounds in 2017, up 2.8 billion pounds from 2015. Beef Per Capita disappearance 57.1 lbs in 2017, 54 lbs in 2015.

　　Pork Production in 2017 26.111 billion lbs versus 24.517 in 2015. Per capita consumption 50.8 lbs in 2017, 49.8 in 2015.

　　相比2015年，2017年人均红肉消耗增加了4磅。这体现了美国人对红肉的热爱。

　　同一时间，预计美国2017年人均消耗的禽肉（鸡肉和火鸡）将比2015年增加2.4磅。

　　世界其他地区也正感受到美国红肉和禽肉产量增加带来的影响。2015年，美国出口了142.73亿磅红肉和禽肉。美国农业部预测2017年的红肉和禽肉出口将达到160.93亿磅。增加的大部分是12亿磅牛肉和猪肉。本质内容：美国红肉和禽肉生产商正在扩张。他们将为国内消费和出口市场提供更多的产品。扩张将会持续下去，直到出现重大损失，所有行业者的热情降低。

　　A 4 lb jump in U.S. per capita Red Meat consumption in 2017 versus 2015. Americans are showing their love for Red Meat.

　　In the same timeframe, U.S. poultry (Chicken and Turkey) 2015 to 2017 projected 2.4 lbs per capita increase.

　　The rest of the world is realizing the effect of increased U.S. Red Meat and Poultry production. In 2015, the U.S. exported 14.273 billion pounds. In 2017, the USDA projects 16.093 billion pounds. The bulk of this increase is 1.2 billion pounds of Beef and Pork.

　　The bottom line: U.S. Red Meat and Poultry producers are expanding. They will have more product for domestic consumption and export markets. Expansion will continue until significant losses curtail the enthusiasm of all sectors.

　　素食者/纯素

　　Vegetarians/Vegans

　　一篇有趣的2015年的文章标题是“不是简单的吃蔬菜”加拿大研究者发现，肉食爱好者评价素食主义者和严格的素食主义者（只吃植物性产品）“跟一些常见的目标群体一样或者比他们更负面的偏见。”“明显只有吸毒者被评价为比素食者和严格的素食主义者更负面。”作者指出。

　　在澳大利亚新南威尔士州的一个近期研究，提出素餐并不会延长寿命。

　　研究者跟踪了将近25万45岁及以上的成年人，发现在全因死亡率上没有显著差异，这意味着任何死亡的可能性都有，执行完全素食，半素食（一周吃一次肉或更少），或者鱼类素食（允许食用鱼肉）不会降低过早死亡的风险。这项研究发表在《预防医学》杂志上。

　　An interesting 2015 paper titled “It ain’t easy eating greens.” Canadian researchers found meat lovers eva luated vegetarians and vegans (plant-based products only) “equivalently or more negatively than some common prejudice target groups.” “Strikingly only drug addicts were eva luated more negatively than vegetarians and vegans,” the authors note.

　　A recent study in New South Wales, Australia, suggests vegetarian diets won’t prolong life.

　　Researchers who tracked nearly a quarter-million adults aged 45 and older found no significant differences in all-cause mortality, meaning the likelihood of dying of any death, between those who followed a complete, semi (meat once a week or less), or pesco (fish permitted) vegetarian diets don’t reduce the risk of premature death. This work appears in the journal Preventative Medicine.

　　市场

　　Markets

　　美国瘦肉型生猪价格持续下跌，上周53-54%瘦肉型生猪价格是0.5967美元/磅，比一个月前下跌了0.7美元/磅，或者超出20美元/头。一年前，53-54%瘦肉型生猪价格是0.67美元/磅。大量的生猪进入市场，每天生猪市场交易量保持在443,000头，正是屠宰加工厂的产能。

　　目前的生猪数量持续传递给屠宰加工商可观的利润。美国分割胴体0.7550美元/磅。53-54%瘦肉型生猪价格是0.5967美元/磅。这中间有0.17美元/磅或者每头猪35美元的价格提升。这将是屠宰加工商的好时机，而且将会持续，一直到夏季中旬新建的加工产投入生产。美国目前低于0.6美元的瘦肉型生猪价格意味着大部分生猪生产商最多达到收支平衡。如果要扭转生猪价格的负面趋势，供应需要出现季节性下降（确实应该）。随着强劲的出口和良好的国内需求，结合生猪供应季节性下降，我们预计生猪价格会迅速反弹，回升至70美分。

　　The U.S. lean hog prices continue to decline, 53-54% lean hogs $0.5967/lb last week, down from $0.70/lb a month ago, or over $20 per head. A year ago, lean hog 53-54% were $0.67/lb. Lots of hogs coming to market, with daily hog marketings remaining at 443,000 per day, which is packer capacity.

　　The current hog numbers are continuing to deliver excellent margins to Packers. U.S. carcass cut-outs are $0.7550/lb. 53-54% lean hogs $0.5967. A $0.17/lb spread or $35 per head. Good times for Packers and will be until the new plants under construction come on stream mid-summer. U.S. current lean hog prices of below $0.60 means most hog producers are at best breaking even. If we are going to reverse the negative trend in hog prices, supply needs to seasonally decline (it should). With strong exports and good domestic demand combined with seasonal decline in hog supply, we expect hog prices to reverse soon and push back into the 70s.

　　养猪生产商的颂诗

　　Ode to Swine Producers

　　“悲观主义者通常是对的，乐观主义者通常是错,但所有巨大的变化都是由乐观主义者完成的。”--弗里德曼

　　“Pessimists are usually right and optimists are usually wrong, but all great changes have been accomplished by optimists.” –Thomas Friedman

　　欢迎Sarah Ethier 加入加裕公司

　　Genesus Welcomes Sarah Ethier

　　加裕公司非常高兴地宣布，Sarah Ethier被任命为遗传学技术员。Sarah Ethier 2014年毕业于萨斯喀彻温大学，随后就职于Prairie养猪中心有限公司，担任研究技术员。在萨斯喀彻温大学期间，Sarah Ethier大学期间曾以暑期实习生的身份在Saskatoon 的Prairie养猪中心有限公司实习过。Sarah的新工作中，她将为加裕核心群和研发群体提供超声和技术服务，协助协调和管理项目的研究和发展，以及组织样品收集，数据支持加裕基因组评估项目。“我们期待Sarah会对加裕公司做出贡献，她的技能，希望加入养猪行业，先前的工作经验，持续的学习欲望，使得她非常适合这个岗位。我们基因和研发项目一直在扩张，寻找合适人选支持，推动这些项目前进，是加裕公司未来的一个关键。”遗传项目和研发项目副总裁Bob Kemp博士谈到。

　　Sarah拥有Saskatchewan大学动物科学专业农业和生物资源学士学位和Lethbridge大学动物科学专业农业技术毕业证书。

　　Genesus is very pleased to announce the appointment of Sarah Ethier to the position of Genetics Technician.  Since her graduation from the University of Saskatchewan in 2014, Sarah has worked at the Prairie Swine Centre Inc. as a research technician. She had previously worked at the Prairie Swine Centre Inc. as a summer student while attending university in Saskatoon. In her new role, Sarah will provide ultrasound and technical services to Genesus nucleus and R&D herds, assist with coordination and management of research and development projects and tissue sample collection and database in support of the Genesus genomic eva luation program. “We look forward to Sarah’s contributions to Genesus, her skill set, desire to be involved in the swine industry, previous experience, and continuing desire to learn make her an excellent choice for this position. Our genetic and R&D programs are continuing to expand and finding the right people to support and move these programs forward is a key to the future of Genesus” says Dr. Bob Kemp, VP of Genetic Programs and R&D.

　　Sarah holds a Bachelor of Agriculture and Bio-Resources with an Animal Sciences Major from the University of Saskatchewan and a Diploma in Agricultural Technology, Animal Science major from the Lethbridge College.